Race Tightening?

(Community Matters) from 3BlueDudes.com

There have been alot of news media and blogs reporting the Presidential race is tightening. Even Barack Obama said he ‘expects’ the race to tighten. Latest national polling though paints a different picture. The race appears to be slightly widening again, after some minor tightening last week. Take a look …

According to Gallup, the race is NOT tightening, but widening a bit. When looking at registered voters, 2 days ago the race was at 50% Obama and 41% McCain. Today, two days alter, the race is at 52% to 41%, a 11 point lead. That is Obama +2.

Although the absolute percentages supporting Obama and McCain have varied in a narrow range for nearly the past three weeks, Obama’s lead shrank to six points late last week, only to expand again in recent days.

Under the Likely Voters totals, Obama has expanded his lead to 52% to 43%, which is +1 for Obama and -1 for McCain since yesterday. On Saturday, that number was at 49% to 44%, making Obama +3, and McCain -1.

Now, take a look at the Rasmussen Reports daily tracker. Again, after initial tightening last week, the last few days have shown nothing but stability.

How about the weird Zogby tracker.

Zogby showed a tightening yesterday to 47.8% to 45.1% but today shows an expanded Obama lead at 49.8% to 44.1%.

Then there is Research 2000. This poll tightened to 50-43 and stands today at 50-42, McCain losing 1.

So, if anything, over the last day or two, there is evidence that the debate is starting an upward trend again and we have not seen the impact of the Colin Powell endorsement yet, and won’t for at least two days.

So while the mainstream media and the Sludge Report like to report that the race is tightening, the fact is, the polls simply tell a different story. The media is so desperate to have a late night election night, they are beginning to report just anything as well, problem is, people are thinking and looking for themselves, and Obama has the financial resources to counter the national media’s attempt to tighten the race.