(Community Matters) Yesterday’s corporate lunch series sponsored by Comerica, Winstead & Bridgepoint was super. The panelists: Austin Venture’s Tom Ball, Blue Sage’s Jim McBride and Guggenheim Capital’s Eric Rothfus.
Speaking with a couple of the panelists plus several of the attendees as well as many other conversations during the last couple of weeks, appears our economic decline has bottomed or is near bottom, and I’m hearing cautious optimism – especially caution that there could be a second dip (not predicted but realization there could be).
Jim isn’t worried about inflation for the next several years – he was much more concerned about deflation and seems to believe its risk has passed. Notes the greatest challenge today is the “velocity of change” in factors impacting margins, demand and revenues. I liked his lemons into lemonade perspective of these times as a cleansing time and his reminding of the quote, “when you’re going through hell, keep going.”
Eric notes that many sophisticated angels are still investing. Tom seconded that observation. (at the same time, I know a few quite sophisticated angel investors whose allocation of risk/less liquid capital has been realigned by the market and who are therefore not further investing in startups).
Guggenheim’s $65mm fund is 2/3 allocated toward distressed technology buys; 1/3 for startups, especially in the space of semiconductors and software. In the distressed space, they are often looking to buy assets rather than businesses.
Austin Venture’s newest, $900mm fund is allocated 2/3 to growth equity and 1/3 to traditional venture capital, 2/3 of which is targeted for Texas/SW USA. In both groups, they are increasingly focused on investing in people. Tom notes his last three deals have each been seed rounds of less than $1mm.







