(Community Matters) According to Nate Silver
There have been outlying results on either side. An ABC News/Washington Post poll released this week showed Mr. Obama leading Mr. Romney by six points among registered voters, but by just one point among likely voters — a five-point enthusiasm gap favoring Mr. Romney.
Conversely, a Fox News poll, released on Wednesday, showed a reverse enthusiasm gap, with Mr. Obama actually doing one point better in their likely-voter poll than in their survey of registered voters.
. . . . But if Democrats can keep the enthusiasm gap to its traditional value of about one and a half percentage points, rather than three, that could make quite a lot of difference. Before the conventions our forecast model had generally shown Mr. Obama as a favorite by about two and a half percentage points; now it projects him to win by about four. That’s consistent with what you’d get if the enthusiasm gap had been narrowed by a point or two.
Community Matters 
Really? Because it seems that here in blue Travis County there is pretty much NO enthusiasm for this election AT ALL. A HUGE contrast from 4 years ago when every 20-something you saw seemed to be a full-fledged member of ObamaNation Hope and Change.
Nationwide, the feeling I get is that Romney has the enthusiasm edge. Nobody is crazy about Romney; it’s all anti-Obama, fueled by ridiculous allegations and hyperbolic rhetoric. The irony is, if Romney gets in he will almost certainly execute the same economic plan Obama is proposing.
The reason to vote for Obama is that I am afraid Romney will give into the extreme members of the House and approve even more tax cuts (even though Romney must know better.)