(Community Matters)
Final projections from 3BlueDudes:
Electoral College: Obama 367 – McCain 171 (using the 3bd Presidential Projector, tossups go to poll avg leader)
US Popular Vote: Obama 51.1 – McCain 42.1 (using 3BD October Number National Poll Munch)
US Senate: Democrats 56 GOP 42 IND 2 (using the 3BD Senate Tracker)
US House: Democrats pick up between 21-30 seats per 3BD reader poll
3BlueDudes
Latest from PPP:
Their teaser: Lots of people are leaving comments asking for predictions on this state or that state and I really don’t want to get too specific while the polls are running, but here’s the bottom line:
When we started running these polls Friday morning I was virtually certain Barack Obama would be elected President.
I still am.
UPDATE
Virginia is up
VA: PPP Obama 52 McCain 46 Undecided/other 2 Obama +6
Now Pennsylvania
PA: PPP Obama 53 McCain 45 Undecided/other 2 Obama +8
And now Ohio
OH: PPP Obama 50 McCain 48 Undecided/other 2 Obama +2
BlueDudes
The final USA Today/Gallup poll before Tuesday’s election has Barack Obama expanding his lead in the poll to his largest margin, 53% to 42%. The polling was conducted on Friday and Saturday.3
BlueDudes
Nate Silver: “Of all the polls out late tonight — and I do hope to have some sort of midnight update to the polling thread — the one that ought to give Democrats the most reassurance is the new poll out from NBC and the Wall Street Journal, which gives Barack Obama a 51-43 lead. What’s to like about this particular survey?
Firstly, all of the interviewing was conducted today (Sunday) and yesterday, so it’s about the freshest set of data that we have.
Secondly — and this is an underrated factor — the NBC/WSJ poll always behaves intuitively. It goes up when the other polls go up, and goes down when the other polls go down.”
538
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