(Community Matters) Seismic shift in Real Clear Politics projection for House – now 173 Ds/ 222 Rs/ 40 toss ups (7 addt’l toss ups since Mon, all from D column).
Nate’s House forecast since Monday Ds – 2, Rs +2 (Ds 203.1; Rs 231.9)
Previous postings: 10/25 (Community Matters) 538: Democratic chances of retaining control of the House are essentially unchanged in today’s FiveThirtyEight forecast. They have a 21 percent chance of doing so, up from 20 percent on Friday; that means Republicans have a 79 percent chance of instead claiming control. The average projection returned a result of 205 Democrats in the House and 230 Republicans, which would reflect a gain of 51 seats for the G.O.P.; this figure is unchanged. Forecast: Ds 205, Rs 230
RCP: 180/222/33
Oct 23: (Community Matters) bummed to see this am that the House predictions have slipped by 2 and 1 seats in the 538 and RCP forecasts. And, yet, I remain optimistic that the modeling relying on likely voters is undercounting the showing of Obama first time voters.
10/21: (Community Matters) Nate’s updated 538 forecast to D’s: 206.6 Rs 228.4, and though he gives 3 out of 4 odds of Rs taking the House, he acknowledges that the volatility in these races is very high.
AP is reporting that early voting is breaking toward Ds. I had DNC Chairman Tim Kaine & OFA Texas Statewide Director Luke Hayes on the Talk on Tuesday radio show – both are optimistic. Luke believes the fact that we’re contacting and mobilizing 2008 first time voters (not included in likely voters in current polls) will result in a favorable break our way.
RCP forecasting 179/214/42 toss ups
Community Matters 
I’m depressed by the impending speakership of John Boehner.
I hope the Dems don’t ostracize Nancy Pelosi because of this loss. That woman has done a ton of good things for our country and earned a place in history.