Daily Archives: 09/12/2008

The Polls

(Community Matters) The polls aren’t pretty but Nate says they are strongest for McCain in the traditionally red states and that McCain/Palin seem to be picking up the evangelical vote and a “significant fraction” of the Perot vote. Nate’s models are now forecasting scenarios where McCain wins the popular vote but Obama wins the electoral vote.

As the Obama campaign keeps reminding us, they never thought this would be anything but a very tight race, and we’d win by the vote of men and women who haven’t previously voted, especially African American and young voters.

Nevertheless, I prefer the electoral and popular margins we were polling a week ago. Of course, appears the GOP convention bubble has lasted longer than expected. Hoping to see it pop over the weekend.


Bus Crash

(Community Matters) Obviously, the straight talk express has disappeared


One Day More

(Community Matters)

The Economy (Depressing); The Election (Optimistic)

(Community Matters) Read John Thornton’s Insomniactive – two postings, The Bear Case, Alpha Grizzly Version and Dem’s Demos.