Polls

(Community Matters) Damn, do our buddies at RCL and 538 sleep late or what? Nothing new up on their sites this morning, so I did my own look at their data, graphs, averages and win predictions.

I’m noticing that the polls for most states have been flat for the last 8 to 10 days. Not much movement in public opinion (mostly maintaining the GOP convention bounce?). This is true for Ohio (McCain +3), Michigan (Obama +2), Wisconsin (Obama +5), New Hampshire (Obama +3) and Missouri (McCain +15).

Exceptions to the flat lines, however: Virginia, SurveyUSA and Fox/Rasmussen showing turn toward Obama, though Nate Silver still considers the state lean McCain. Florida, showing a definite move toward McCain and away from Obama during the same time the other states have been flat (Nate says McCain +6 and likely McCain). Colorado had been flat but polls last two days show movement toward McCain (Nate still considers CO a toss up). New Mexico, not much polling taking place here and also considered a toss up. Finally, Nevada had been flat for over a month and now ticking up for both candidates, undecideds? 538 still categorized NV as lean McCain.