(Community Matters) Dismissal of national polls notwithstanding, I’m hearing the NYT poll shows Obama up by 5 after being down by 2 last week.
In the state by state polls which haven’t been fully vetted at 538 nor do I think yet entered into the models, among the battle ground states the only of real note seem to be: competing polls on Ohio, the latest and largest sample showing Obama +2 (the smaller and last week’s poll showing McCain +6). Virginia still sending mixed messages favoring Obama, though thought to be a lean McCain state. And, the juiciest is a CNN/Time poll showing Obama +4 in Florida (this poll includes the independent candidates).
Remember, Obama winning any one of Colorado, Virginia, Ohio or Florida probably means he wins.
Community Matters 