(Community Matters) FiveThirtyEight says Obama 61%: McCain 39%. Real Clear Politics says Obama +1.9%. Good gosh it’s been a long two weeks.
The 1.9% more appropriately represents the closeness of the race, even by 538’s simulations. Nate even cautions about the real chances for a tie.
Nevertheless, I remain more optimistic. I know the ground games underway in the battleground states, or should we say Obama’s ground games underway. Republicans are so very far behind in their field operations. They are better advertisers though, and seem to have been playing a better media game until the meltdown of lies last week. Only helpful to assume they’ll recapture their game and come back stronger than ever in media – not just McCain campaign and RNC but their 527s too.
Of course, they’ve got the enthusiasm handicap. Even at Palin’s height of favorability, Obama enjoyed a 20 point enthusiasm advantage. And, Palin’s favorables are falling. Nevertheless, Gov Palin’s freudian slip, “the Palin-McCain administration” is quite telling. Especially among their base, the Alaskan trojan moose is far more popular than the candidate and drives the enthusiasm. Reading about their campaign stops yesterday, the crowds came to see the Gov and started departing after she spoke, while McCain was at the podium.
It’s time for everyone to support Obama just a little more. Please do so here
by the way, there are limits for the primary and for the general AND you can give up to another $28,500 to the DNC. At the site linked above and
here, just give. It’s automatically allocated first to the Obama for America fund, then the DNC. Since we’re not taking public funding, the Obama campaign and DNC campaign are coordinating seamlessly.
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