(Community Matters) Some notes of what we’re hearing today in DC . . .
The midterm elections – what’s been the narrative?
- during the summer – Democrats in disarray
- by Labor Day – Ds in disarray & could be in trouble, but those being elected in the Republican primaries are nuts
- last five days – the Ds may have momentum and the Rs may have peaked. Is there enough time?
In previous years, the DNC raised $40mm – $60mm per year. In 2009: $80mm. Thru Aug 2010: $75mm, and Sept & Oct will be records too.
350,000 new DNC donors so far this year (never before have given to DNC – much more valuable than RNC $1mm donors)
DA/DT will be repealed in December
We’re still dealing with a very volatile electorate: will they vote and for whom will they vote?
Historically: midterms, party in power loses 28 House seats and 4 Senate seats
Univision (not FOX) has the largest, most loyal television viewers
Importance of early voting: Percentage of national voters eligible for early voting:
- 1994 35%
- 2006 47%
- 2008 65%
- 2010 71%
in national polls, among likely voters, Rs have an 8pt lead. With Ds still considering voting: Ds +7 pts
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand – could be first female president (my opinion)
Community Matters 